Everything about Expert Elicitation totally explained
In
science,
engineering, and
research,
expert elicitation is the synthesis of opinions of
experts of a subject where there's uncertainty due to insufficient
data, when such data is unattainable because of physical constraints or lack of resources. Expert elicitation is essentially a
scientific consensus methodology. It is often used in the study of rare events. Expert elicitation allows for
parameterization, an "educated guess", for the respective topic under study. Expert elicitation generally
quantifies uncertainty.
Expert elicitation tends to be
multidisciplinary as well as
interdisciplinary, with practically universal applicability, and is used in a broad range of fields. Prominent recent expert elicitation applications are to
climate change,
modeling seismic hazard and damage, association of
tornado damage to
wind speed in developing the
Enhanced Fujita Scale, and
risk analysis for
nuclear waste storage.
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